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DCI 2026 · The Season Finale

The Fan Effect Index

One question, asked of twelve Finals performances: would I look it up again? Not was it clean. Not did it earn the sheet. Would I, in February, on a phone, in a parking lot, type the name into a search bar and watch the whole thing over. That question produces a different order than the judges produced. Here is both orders, the size of the disagreement, and an honest attempt to find out what the disagreement is actually made of.

Every scoring argument in this activity eventually collapses into the same two camps. One side says the sheet is the truth and everything else is sentiment. The other side says the sheet misses the thing that made you drive four hours. Both camps have been shouting past each other for as long as there have been recaps.

They are both right. They have always been both right. They are measuring different quantities and calling them by the same word.

So this is the desk putting its own number on the record, in public, where it can be wrong. The Fan Effect Index ranks the twelve Finals performances by rewatch value and nothing else. Then it gets tested against the recap, because a metric you never check against reality is not a metric, it is a mood.

The Index
Ranked best to worst by one criterion. The right-hand column is where the judges put them, and the arrow is the disagreement.
FEICorpsFinals JudgesDivergence
1 Carolina Crown 97.038 3 +2
2 Bluecoats 99.100 1 -1
3 Phantom Regiment Fan Favorite 92.600 7 +4
4 Santa Clara Vanguard 95.025 5 +1
5 Blue Devils 97.500 2 -3
6 Boston Crusaders 95.675 4 -2
7 Blue Stars 94.137 6 -1
8 The Cavaliers 92.175 8 even
9 Colts 90.125 9 even
10 Spirit of Atlanta 88.588 10 even
11 Troopers 86.950 11 even
Blue Knights 86.175 12 unranked

Yes. You are correct. Blue Knights are missing. That is not an oversight and it is not a clerical error. Blue Knights made Finals, played the show, and finished 12th at 86.175, all of which is a genuine accomplishment that thousands of people would trade a year of their life for. The index still has nothing to say about them, because the index only answers one question and the honest answer here was no.

The Reasoning, Such As It Is
The top 7 are ranked on first-hand impression from inside the stadium. Everything below that line is carried at the judges' order, because the desk did not have a rewatch opinion worth publishing and inventing one would defeat the entire point.
FEI 1 · finished 3rd
Carolina Crown
The Ave Maria. Three standing ovations inside one show. I would go to any church any time that would do that.
FEI 2 · finished 1st
Bluecoats
They are very. Very. Good. I had to look twice to tell whether it was a soloist or a section, because they were that tight.
FEI 3 · finished 7th
Phantom Regiment
I do not care what anyone says. These guys are getting screwed. Fight me.
FEI 4 · finished 5th
Santa Clara Vanguard
The nuance was there and the musicianship was there. It rewards a second listen more than anything else in the middle of the sheet.
FEI 5 · finished 2nd
Blue Devils
What I said two nights ago about them not having a soul, I take back. The more I see that show the more I like it. They cannot help but swing.
FEI 6 · finished 4th
Boston Crusaders
Watching Boston is like looking at televisions in Best Buy. The brightness is turned all the way up because it makes the picture stand out on the wall. Get it home and the dynamic contrast is gone and everything is washed out.
FEI 7 · finished 6th
Blue Stars
Walt left to get a new drink when they were announced. That is a data point.
Now Test It Against The Sheet
The standing theory is that a ranking like this one measures effect and the judges measure precision. That theory is checkable, and on Finals night it does not survive.

Start with the assumption everybody makes. If effect and craft really were pulling in opposite directions, the two books on the recap would disagree with each other. They did not. Ranking the twelve corps by the two General Effect captions alone, and then ranking them again by the six performance captions alone, produces orders that correlate at +0.986. The effect book and the craft book named nearly the same order, top to bottom.

So there is no war on the sheet. The corps the judges found most effective were, with almost no exceptions, the corps the judges also found cleanest. Whatever the index is disagreeing with, it is not one half of a divided panel.

And it does disagree. Against the judges' final order the index correlates at +0.836. Against the effect book alone, +0.873. Against the craft book alone, +0.836. Close together, all three, and all of them short of agreement. The index is not a noisier copy of the sheet and it is not the effect book in disguise. It is picking up something the recap does not have a column for.

What It Is Actually Measuring
Not how high the sheet is. How uneven it is.

Rank every corps within every caption, so that a number means position on the field rather than a score in a vacuum. Then measure each corps' spread: the distance from its best caption rank to its worst. A corps sitting third in all eight captions has a spread of zero and no signature. A corps sitting second in one caption and eighth in another has a spread of six, and people walk out of the stadium talking about the second one.

The corps the index ranks above their placement average a spread of 4. The corps it ranks below their placement average 2. Carolina Crown and Santa Clara Vanguard are jagged, at 5. Bluecoats, Blue Devils, Boston Crusaders and Blue Stars are smooth, every one of them sitting at 2.

That is the whole disagreement, and it is not a disagreement about quality. The recap integrates eleven minutes and rewards the corps that was excellent in every one of them. A rewatch decision is made by the single best ninety seconds, and ninety seconds is exactly what a spread of six buys you. Both instruments are working correctly. They are pointed at different things.

Ranked Up
4
average caption spread, corps the index lifts
Ranked Down
2
average caption spread, corps the index drops
Books Agree
+0.986
effect order vs craft order, so there is no war
Index vs Judges
+0.836
agreement on shape, disagreement on the details
FEICorpsJudgesSpreadPeak captionRank there
1 Carolina Crown 3 6 General Effect Music 2
2 Bluecoats 1 2 General Effect Music 1 field best
3 Phantom Regiment 7 2 Percussion 6
4 Santa Clara Vanguard 5 4 Percussion 2
5 Blue Devils 2 2 Brass 1 field best
6 Boston Crusaders 4 2 Color Guard 3
7 Blue Stars 6 2 General Effect Music 5
The Exception, Which Is The Best Part

Phantom Regiment breaks it. The index puts them 4 places above where they finished, the largest disagreement on the page, and their sheet is not jagged at all. Spread of 2. By the theory this piece just built, they should have been ranked down, not up.

Which would be an embarrassing hole in a brand new metric, except that the same night handed us an independent check. Phantom Regiment won Fan Favorite. That award is voted by the building, not the panel, and it is the only other instrument in the stadium asking the rewatch question instead of the sheet question. It landed on the same corps this index did, four places clear of where the recap put them.

Two instruments, no shared method, same answer. The stadium and the desk agreed with each other and disagreed with the recap in exactly the same direction and by roughly the same amount. That is not proof of anything. It is, however, the first outside evidence that the question is measuring a real quantity rather than one person's Saturday night.

A Child Disagreed With Me

The other independent check on Finals night was a kid's tier list, assembled without reference to a single caption score, purely on the basis of what the kid wanted to see again. Which is the FEI's exact method, arrived at independently, by someone who has never read a recap sheet. Methodologically this is the best validation the index received all weekend.

It put Blue Stars above Phantom Regiment.

I will fight this child. Now. They are immature and need to be corrected.

The intellectually honest version of that reaction is worth stating, because the reaction itself is the point. An independent validator using the same method reached a different answer on one placement, and the desk's instinct was not to update, it was to challenge a minor to single combat. Everyone defending a scoring opinion tonight, in every section of that stadium, is doing some version of that. The judges included. So am I.

The difference is only that the panel had to publish theirs to three decimal places and sign it. Which is a good argument for humility, and a better one for publishing your own numbers where somebody can check them.

What This Is For

Bluecoats won the 2026 Drum Corps International World Championship with a 99.100, the first score of 99 anybody put on a board this season, and they earned every thousandth of it. The index has them second. Both of those sentences are true and neither one is an attack on the other.

That is the entire thesis. A recap is a measurement of execution against a written standard, performed by trained people under time pressure, and it is very good at what it does. It is not a measurement of what you will still be thinking about in February. Nothing on that sheet was ever trying to be.

The judges will disagree with this index. They are wrong. They are also, at the same time and without contradiction, entirely correct about the thing they were actually asked to score.

See you in February, in a parking lot, on a phone.

Divergence is judges' placement minus index rank, so a positive number means the desk ranked a corps higher than the panel did. Caption ranks are positions within the twelve-corps Finals field, computed from the certified recap. Spread is worst caption rank minus best caption rank. Correlations are Spearman rank coefficients across the 11 corps the index ranks. Effect and craft are the recap's own division: the two General Effect captions carry 40 points of the 100, the six performance captions carry 60, which is why the books are compared as weighted orders rather than raw caption averages.