The Fan Effect Index
One question, asked of twelve Finals performances: would I look it up again? Not was it clean. Not did it earn the sheet. Would I, in February, on a phone, in a parking lot, type the name into a search bar and watch the whole thing over. That question produces a different order than the judges produced. Here is both orders, the size of the disagreement, and an honest attempt to find out what the disagreement is actually made of.
Every scoring argument in this activity eventually collapses into the same two camps. One side says the sheet is the truth and everything else is sentiment. The other side says the sheet misses the thing that made you drive four hours. Both camps have been shouting past each other for as long as there have been recaps.
They are both right. They have always been both right. They are measuring different quantities and calling them by the same word.
So this is the desk putting its own number on the record, in public, where it can be wrong. The Fan Effect Index ranks the twelve Finals performances by rewatch value and nothing else. Then it gets tested against the recap, because a metric you never check against reality is not a metric, it is a mood.
| FEI | Corps | Finals | Judges | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Crown | 97.038 | 3 | +2 |
| 2 | Bluecoats | 99.100 | 1 | -1 |
| 3 | Phantom Regiment Fan Favorite | 92.600 | 7 | +4 |
| 4 | Santa Clara Vanguard | 95.025 | 5 | +1 |
| 5 | Blue Devils | 97.500 | 2 | -3 |
| 6 | Boston Crusaders | 95.675 | 4 | -2 |
| 7 | Blue Stars | 94.137 | 6 | -1 |
| 8 | The Cavaliers | 92.175 | 8 | even |
| 9 | Colts | 90.125 | 9 | even |
| 10 | Spirit of Atlanta | 88.588 | 10 | even |
| 11 | Troopers | 86.950 | 11 | even |
| – | Blue Knights | 86.175 | 12 | unranked |
Yes. You are correct. Blue Knights are missing. That is not an oversight and it is not a clerical error. Blue Knights made Finals, played the show, and finished 12th at 86.175, all of which is a genuine accomplishment that thousands of people would trade a year of their life for. The index still has nothing to say about them, because the index only answers one question and the honest answer here was no.
Start with the assumption everybody makes. If effect and craft really were pulling in opposite directions, the two books on the recap would disagree with each other. They did not. Ranking the twelve corps by the two General Effect captions alone, and then ranking them again by the six performance captions alone, produces orders that correlate at +0.986. The effect book and the craft book named nearly the same order, top to bottom.
So there is no war on the sheet. The corps the judges found most effective were, with almost no exceptions, the corps the judges also found cleanest. Whatever the index is disagreeing with, it is not one half of a divided panel.
And it does disagree. Against the judges' final order the index correlates at +0.836. Against the effect book alone, +0.873. Against the craft book alone, +0.836. Close together, all three, and all of them short of agreement. The index is not a noisier copy of the sheet and it is not the effect book in disguise. It is picking up something the recap does not have a column for.
Rank every corps within every caption, so that a number means position on the field rather than a score in a vacuum. Then measure each corps' spread: the distance from its best caption rank to its worst. A corps sitting third in all eight captions has a spread of zero and no signature. A corps sitting second in one caption and eighth in another has a spread of six, and people walk out of the stadium talking about the second one.
The corps the index ranks above their placement average a spread of 4. The corps it ranks below their placement average 2. Carolina Crown and Santa Clara Vanguard are jagged, at 5. Bluecoats, Blue Devils, Boston Crusaders and Blue Stars are smooth, every one of them sitting at 2.
That is the whole disagreement, and it is not a disagreement about quality. The recap integrates eleven minutes and rewards the corps that was excellent in every one of them. A rewatch decision is made by the single best ninety seconds, and ninety seconds is exactly what a spread of six buys you. Both instruments are working correctly. They are pointed at different things.
| FEI | Corps | Judges | Spread | Peak caption | Rank there |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Crown | 3 | 6 | General Effect Music | 2 |
| 2 | Bluecoats | 1 | 2 | General Effect Music | 1 field best |
| 3 | Phantom Regiment | 7 | 2 | Percussion | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Clara Vanguard | 5 | 4 | Percussion | 2 |
| 5 | Blue Devils | 2 | 2 | Brass | 1 field best |
| 6 | Boston Crusaders | 4 | 2 | Color Guard | 3 |
| 7 | Blue Stars | 6 | 2 | General Effect Music | 5 |
Phantom Regiment breaks it. The index puts them 4 places above where they finished, the largest disagreement on the page, and their sheet is not jagged at all. Spread of 2. By the theory this piece just built, they should have been ranked down, not up.
Which would be an embarrassing hole in a brand new metric, except that the same night handed us an independent check. Phantom Regiment won Fan Favorite. That award is voted by the building, not the panel, and it is the only other instrument in the stadium asking the rewatch question instead of the sheet question. It landed on the same corps this index did, four places clear of where the recap put them.
Two instruments, no shared method, same answer. The stadium and the desk agreed with each other and disagreed with the recap in exactly the same direction and by roughly the same amount. That is not proof of anything. It is, however, the first outside evidence that the question is measuring a real quantity rather than one person's Saturday night.
The other independent check on Finals night was a kid's tier list, assembled without reference to a single caption score, purely on the basis of what the kid wanted to see again. Which is the FEI's exact method, arrived at independently, by someone who has never read a recap sheet. Methodologically this is the best validation the index received all weekend.
It put Blue Stars above Phantom Regiment.
I will fight this child. Now. They are immature and need to be corrected.
The intellectually honest version of that reaction is worth stating, because the reaction itself is the point. An independent validator using the same method reached a different answer on one placement, and the desk's instinct was not to update, it was to challenge a minor to single combat. Everyone defending a scoring opinion tonight, in every section of that stadium, is doing some version of that. The judges included. So am I.
The difference is only that the panel had to publish theirs to three decimal places and sign it. Which is a good argument for humility, and a better one for publishing your own numbers where somebody can check them.
Bluecoats won the 2026 Drum Corps International World Championship with a 99.100, the first score of 99 anybody put on a board this season, and they earned every thousandth of it. The index has them second. Both of those sentences are true and neither one is an attack on the other.
That is the entire thesis. A recap is a measurement of execution against a written standard, performed by trained people under time pressure, and it is very good at what it does. It is not a measurement of what you will still be thinking about in February. Nothing on that sheet was ever trying to be.
The judges will disagree with this index. They are wrong. They are also, at the same time and without contradiction, entirely correct about the thing they were actually asked to score.
See you in February, in a parking lot, on a phone.